As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kevin Ashe at 76.5% in Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $8.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kevin Ashe, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +7.0 pts; past month: +10.0 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, Kevin Ashe has traded between 54.5% and 82.0%. It opened at 59.5% and last traded at 74.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 74.0% |
Kevin Ashe is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ashe | 76¢ | 76.5% | +2.5 pts | $3.8K | 46.7% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Doug Cornell | 11¢ | 11.0% | -2.0 pts | $816 | 10.0% |
| Janice Frampton | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.7K | 33.0% |
| Zargham Rasool | 6¢ | 5.6% | -0.2 pts | $328 | 4.0% |
| Lisa Robinson | 4¢ | 3.9% | +1.5 pts | $165 | 2.0% |
| Shaun Rickard | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $123 | 1.5% |
| Andrea Wood | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $217 | 2.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.2K has been traded on this event in total, $608 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 408 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 408 | $312 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 240 | $56 |
| Heavy-Fry | Yes | 239 | $183 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 233 | $55 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 131 | $31 |
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 125 | $95 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 118 | $28 |
| Quarterly-Locker | Yes | 105 | $80 |
| Required-Horn | No | 65 | $15 |
| Known-Use | No | 50 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.8% | $135 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $63 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 05:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 05:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.4% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 05:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kevin Ashe at 76.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pickering-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$8.2K in total volume, with $608 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
Kevin Ashe, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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