As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 94.3% in Piura Mayoral Election Winner — $41.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi, is priced at 94.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.6 pts; past week: -0.4 pts; past month: +62.4 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi has traded between 12.5% and 96.5%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 94.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.7% |
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi is favored at 94.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi | 94¢ | 94.3% | -0.6 pts | $19.4K | 46.8% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán | 9¢ | 8.6% | +2.4 pts | $13.5K | 32.5% |
| Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $594 | 1.4% |
| Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.3 pts | $461 | 1.1% |
| John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.3 pts | $610 | 1.5% |
| Walther Guerrero Silva | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $876 | 2.1% |
| Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $481 | 1.2% |
| Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $430 | 1.0% |
| Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $381 | 0.9% |
| Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $607 | 1.5% |
| José Luis Morey Requejo | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $840 | 2.0% |
| Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $616 | 1.5% |
| Guillermo Chávez Timoteo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $422 | 1.0% |
| Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | 4.2% |
| Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $492 | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$41.4K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolution source: https://jne.gob.pe
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 515 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 515 | $29 |
| Immaterial-Secretariat | Yes | 390 | $368 |
| Classic-Parallelogram | Yes | 300 | $283 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 255 | $241 |
| Careful-Bunch | No | 194 | $11 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 186 | $10 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 150 | $8 |
| Known-Use | No | 103 | $6 |
| Few-Sophomore | Yes | 96 | $91 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | Yes | 77 | $72 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.5% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.6% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 05:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.9% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 03:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.3% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 10:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.1% | $9 |
| Oct 17, 09:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.7% | $9 |
| Oct 17, 12:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 01:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.8% | $37 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 94.3%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/piura-mayoral-election-winner-20260811165718694?via=bro
$41.4K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://jne.gob.pe.
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi, priced at 94.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.