As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Estoril Praia at 50.5% in Estoril Praia vs. Moreirense FC — $242 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Estoril Praia, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: -2.0 pts.
Since October 11, 2026, Estoril Praia has traded between 39.5% and 53.0%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 48.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 48.5% |
Estoril Praia is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril Praia | 50¢ | 50.5% | +2.0 pts | $113 | 46.6% |
| Draw (Estoril Praia vs. Moreirense FC) | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $4 | 1.6% |
| Moreirense FC | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $125 | 51.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$242 has been traded on this event in total, $207 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:30 AM ET.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If Estoril Praia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Resolution source: https://www.ligaportugal.pt/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 81 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirty-Automaton | No | 81 | $40 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf | Yes | 65 | $33 |
| Limited-Worship | Yes | 16 | $8 |
| Infamous-Ocelot | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Worthwhile-Spokeswoman-Tower | No | 10 | $5 |
| Linear-Succotash | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Low-Handlebar-Nightlife | No | 3 | $1 |
| Ringed-Waiver | No | 3 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $76 |
| Oct 24, 01:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 09:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 12:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Estoril Praia at 50.5%. Next is Draw (Estoril Praia vs. Moreirense FC) at 26.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/por-est-mor-2026-10-25?via=bro
$242 in total volume, with $207 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:30 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ligaportugal.pt/.
Estoril Praia, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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