As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 70-85mm at 44.7% in Precipitation in London in October? — $43.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 70-85mm, is priced at 44.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.4 pts; past week: +32.3 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, 70-85mm has traded between 3.2% and 34.2%. It opened at 16.0% and last traded at 31.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 3.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 33.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 33.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 31.2% |
70-85mm is favored at 44.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70-85mm | 45¢ | 44.7% | +11.4 pts | $5.8K | 13.4% |
| 85-110mm | 41¢ | 41.4% | -3.9 pts | $5.0K | 11.6% |
| 110mm+ | 4¢ | 3.9% | -9.3 pts | $2.0K | 4.5% |
| 45-60mm | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.1 pts | $5.8K | 13.3% |
| 35-45mm | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.9 pts | $8.6K | 19.8% |
| <35mm | 1¢ | 0.9% | -1.9 pts | $13.4K | 30.9% |
| 60-70mm | 1¢ | 0.6% | -3.9 pts | $2.8K | 6.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 56¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$43.4K has been traded on this event in total, $4.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in October, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for October 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of October 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,206 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,206 | $667 |
| Judicious-Corsage-Transaction | Yes | 732 | $327 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 213 | $95 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 80 | $36 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 54 | $24 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 51 | $23 |
| Past-Disguise | Yes | 51 | $23 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 45 | $20 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 40 | $22 |
| Zealous-Vegetarian | Yes | 30 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.7% | $120 |
| Oct 24, 06:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.5% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 06:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.3% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.3% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.4% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.5% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.4% | $77 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $83 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 70-85mm at 44.7%. Next is 85-110mm at 41.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-london-in-october-20260925t160000000z?via=bro
$43.4K in total volume, with $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
70-85mm, priced at 44.7% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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