As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <1.75" at 67.0% in Precipitation in Seattle in October? — $38.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, <1.75", is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -16.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, <1.75" has traded between 18.0% and 84.0%. It opened at 24.5% and last traded at 64.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.0% |
<1.75" is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.75" | 67¢ | 67.0% | -16.5 pts | $13.2K | 34.3% |
| 1.75-2.5" | 30¢ | 29.5% | +13.5 pts | $8.4K | 21.9% |
| 2.5-3" | 7¢ | 6.6% | +5.8 pts | $4.8K | 12.5% |
| 3-3.75" | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $6.3K | 16.3% |
| 3.75-4.75" | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.2K | 5.6% |
| 4.75-6" | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.2K | 3.1% |
| >6" | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | 6.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.4K has been traded on this event in total, $3.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,298 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,298 | $428 |
| Judicious-Corsage-Transaction | Yes | 773 | $518 |
| Absolute-Reply | Yes | 270 | $181 |
| 0xf51b1d56… | Yes | 186 | $125 |
| Corny-Hyphenation | Yes | 145 | $97 |
| Outrageous-Afterlife | No | 100 | $33 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 100 | $33 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 93 | $63 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 87 | $58 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 69 | $23 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 64.2% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 06:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.3% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 12:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.6% | $206 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 11:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $66 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.5% | $135 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is <1.75" at 67.0%. Next is 1.75-2.5" at 29.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-seattle-in-october-20260925t160000000z?via=bro
$38.4K in total volume, with $3.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
<1.75", priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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