As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 70-85mm at 92.8% in Precipitation in Seoul in October? — $52.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 70-85mm, is priced at 92.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.6 pts; past week: +57.5 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, 70-85mm has traded between 5.0% and 92.8%. It opened at 15.5% and last traded at 92.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.8% |
70-85mm is favored at 92.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70-85mm | 93¢ | 92.8% | +8.6 pts | $6.2K | 11.9% |
| 85mm+ | 3¢ | 3.0% | -10.0 pts | $10.1K | 19.3% |
| <20mm | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $10.4K | 19.9% |
| 20-30mm | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $4.9K | 9.4% |
| 30-40mm | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $5.6K | 10.6% |
| 50-70mm | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $7.8K | 15.0% |
| 40-50mm | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $7.2K | 13.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 91¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$52.2K has been traded on this event in total, $951 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,565 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Judicious-Corsage-Transaction | Yes | 1,565 | $1.5K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,317 | $96 |
| Sniveling-Manacle | Yes | 308 | $286 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 247 | $18 |
| Corny-Hyphenation | Yes | 140 | $130 |
| Required-Horn | No | 106 | $8 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 83 | $6 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 80 | $6 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 77 | $72 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 65 | $60 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.2% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.5% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.2% | $122 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 70-85mm at 92.8%. Next is 85mm+ at 3.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-seoul-in-october-20260925t160000000z?via=bro
$52.2K in total volume, with $951 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
70-85mm, priced at 92.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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