As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Narva Trans at 98.0% in Premium Liiga (Estonia): Teams relegated (2026) — $4.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Narva Trans, is priced at 98.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +17.5 pts; past month: +28.5 pts.
Since August 26, 2026, Narva Trans has traded between 26.0% and 98.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 98.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.0% |
Narva Trans is favored at 98.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narva Trans | 98¢ | 98.0% | +0.1 pts | $165 | 3.9% |
| Nõmme United | 32¢ | 31.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pärnu JK Vaprus | 32¢ | 31.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Kuressaare | 27¢ | 27.3% | +23.8 pts | $702 | 16.6% |
| Harju JK Laagri | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $1.7K | 40.5% |
| Nõmme Kalju | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $41 | 1.0% |
| FCI Levadia | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $440 | 10.4% |
| FC Flora | 3¢ | 2.5% | +2.1 pts | $495 | 11.7% |
| Paide Linnameeskond | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $291 | 6.9% |
| Tartu JK Tammeka | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $388 | 9.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.2K has been traded on this event in total, $641 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Premium Liiga (Estonia) at the conclusion of the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Premium Liiga (Estonia). If the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Premium Liiga (Estonia). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 85 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Original-Eternity | Yes | 85 | $84 |
| Juvenile-Siege | No | 24 | $0 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 21 | $0 |
| Helpful-Cheese | Yes | 20 | $20 |
| Scornful-Thrush | No | 20 | $0 |
| 0x285836fc… | No | 20 | $0 |
| 0xfe7e3840… | No | 20 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.1% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $140 |
| Oct 24, 12:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 02:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.1% | $110 |
| Oct 17, 09:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Narva Trans at 98.0%. Next is Nõmme United at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/premium-liiga-estonia-teams-relegated-2026?via=bro
$4.2K in total volume, with $641 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Narva Trans, priced at 98.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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