As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Estoril Praia at 66.5% in Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27) — $14.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Estoril Praia, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.5 pts; past week: +21.0 pts; past month: +27.0 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Estoril Praia has traded between 15.5% and 81.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.0% |
Estoril Praia is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril Praia | 66¢ | 66.5% | +10.5 pts | $1.3K | 9.4% |
| Nacional | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $977 | 6.8% |
| Casa Pia | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $3.5K | 24.4% |
| Marítimo | 34¢ | 34.0% | +13.5 pts | $1.7K | 12.0% |
| Rio Ave | 30¢ | 30.5% | +13.0 pts | $2.8K | 19.6% |
| Estrela da Amadora | 27¢ | 26.7% | +12.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Moreirense | 26¢ | 25.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Famalicão | 23¢ | 23.4% | +10.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Braga | 17¢ | 16.8% | +0.9 pts | $1.3K | 8.9% |
| Alverca | 13¢ | 13.3% | -10.8 pts | $164 | 1.1% |
| Académico de Viseu | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.4 pts | $40 | 0.3% |
| Santa Clara | 4¢ | 3.7% | +0.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Benfica | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $150 | 1.1% |
| Arouca | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $72 | 0.5% |
| Gil Vicente | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $85 | 0.6% |
| Vitória de Guimarães | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K | 9.3% |
| Porto | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $829 | 5.8% |
| Sporting CP | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $35 | 0.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 27¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.3K has been traded on this event in total, $469 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Primeira Liga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Primeira Liga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Primeira Liga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Primeira Liga. If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Primeira Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 224 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | No | 224 | $75 |
| Treasured-Sauerkraut | Yes | 222 | $148 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb | Yes | 109 | $73 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 51 | $17 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 40 | $13 |
| Empty-Annual | No | 20 | $7 |
| Sniveling-Developmental-Lantern | No | 7 | $2 |
| 0x28a66540… | Yes | 7 | $5 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 7 | $5 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 06:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 10:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Estoril Praia at 66.5%. Next is Nacional at 50.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/primeira-liga-teams-relegated-2026-27?via=bro
$14.3K in total volume, with $469 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Estoril Praia, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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