As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.2% in Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? — $227.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +0.4 pts.
Since February 19, 2026, No has traded between 83.5% and 98.9%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.4% |
No is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.2% | -0.2 pts | $227.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.2 pts | $227.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$227.3K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,044 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brief-Cricket | Yes | 10,044 | $281 |
| Minty-Maternity | No | 8,881 | $8.6K |
| Unfit-Woodland | No | 8,604 | $8.4K |
| Gifted-Ellipse | No | 4,100 | $4.0K |
| Mammoth-Gel | No | 3,413 | $3.3K |
| Strange-Icicle | No | 3,000 | $2.9K |
| Skirk1123 | No | 2,937 | $2.9K |
| Dishonest-Softening | Yes | 1,875 | $53 |
| Keen-Cappuccino | Yes | 1,795 | $50 |
| Electric-Interpretation | Yes | 1,181 | $33 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 08:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $31 |
| Oct 17, 10:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 08:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $500 |
| Oct 17, 12:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $89 |
| Oct 15, 10:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 12:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 12:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.7% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 07:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.2%. Next is Yes at 2.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/prince-andrew-sentenced-to-prison?via=bro
$227.3K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.