As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yordan Alvarez at 95.7% in MLB: 2026 AL MVP — $1.05M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yordan Alvarez, is priced at 95.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +3.1 pts.
Since February 19, 2026, Yordan Alvarez has traded between 3.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 8.5% and last traded at 95.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.7% |
Yordan Alvarez is favored at 95.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 96¢ | 95.7% | +0.1 pts | $54.8K | 5.2% |
| Junior Caminero | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.4 pts | $6.0K | 0.6% |
| Cam Schlittler | 1¢ | 1.2% | -0.4 pts | $1.8K | 0.2% |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $24.0K | 2.3% |
| Ben Rice | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.5K | 0.3% |
| Jose Ramirez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 0.2% |
| Aaron Judge | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $9.0K | 0.9% |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.7K | 0.3% |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $27.0K | 2.6% |
| Corey Seager | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $311.1K | 29.5% |
| Mike Trout | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $442 | 0.0% |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $43.4K | 4.1% |
| Cal Raleigh | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $559.2K | 53.1% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.3K | 0.5% |
| Dillon Dingler | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $847 | 0.1% |
| Byron Buxton | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $792 | 0.1% |
| Wilson Contreras | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $274 | 0.0% |
| Munetaka Murakami | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $580 | 0.1% |
| Pete Alonso | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $169 | 0.0% |
| Miguel Vargas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $92 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.05M has been traded on this event in total, $59 of it in the last 24 hours, across 51 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,013 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Lawsuit | Yes | 4,013 | $3.8K |
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 2,649 | $2.5K |
| Loving-Programming | No | 2,615 | $112 |
| Our-Dough | No | 2,405 | $103 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,027 | $87 |
| Deserted-Joy-Expansionism | No | 751 | $32 |
| JonnyA | Yes | 468 | $448 |
| Welcome-Vegetable | Yes | 379 | $363 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 353 | $337 |
| andy29 | Yes | 250 | $240 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 02:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.8% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 02:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.1% | $45 |
| Oct 20, 02:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.9% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 02:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.1% | $47 |
| Oct 20, 02:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.1% | $47 |
| Oct 20, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.1% | $47 |
| Oct 18, 09:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.4% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 07:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.7% | $34 |
| Oct 18, 07:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.8% | $57 |
| Oct 17, 08:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.9% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yordan Alvarez at 95.7%. Next is Junior Caminero at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-baseball-2026-al-mvp?via=bro
$1.05M in total volume, with $59 traded in the last 24 hours across 51 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yordan Alvarez, priced at 95.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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