As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Josh Allen at 30.5% in Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner — $1.32M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Josh Allen, is priced at 30.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: +4.5 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, Josh Allen has traded between 6.0% and 53.0%. It opened at 22.5% and last traded at 30.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 26.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 30.5% |
Josh Allen is favored at 30.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 30¢ | 30.5% | +3.5 pts | $62.8K | 4.7% |
| Brock Purdy | 27¢ | 26.6% | -1.3 pts | $43.7K | 3.3% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 9¢ | 9.3% | -0.4 pts | $36.1K | 2.7% |
| Trevor Lawrence | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.1 pts | $38.3K | 2.9% |
| Joe Burrow | 5¢ | 5.2% | +0.1 pts | $39.7K | 3.0% |
| Drake Maye | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.1 pts | $38.0K | 2.9% |
| Caleb Williams | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.3 pts | $138.5K | 10.5% |
| Jordan Love | 4¢ | 3.5% | -1.5 pts | $24.6K | 1.9% |
| Jared Goff | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.2 pts | $31.0K | 2.3% |
| Jalen Hurts | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.9 pts | $41.6K | 3.1% |
| Christian McCaffrey | 2¢ | 2.4% | +1.0 pts | $25.1K | 1.9% |
| Lamar Jackson | 2¢ | 2.3% | +0.4 pts | $68.4K | 5.2% |
| Dak Prescott | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $44.2K | 3.3% |
| Justin Herbert | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $84.1K | 6.3% |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.3 pts | $30.9K | 2.3% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $25.0K | 1.9% |
| Derrick Henry | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.2 pts | $22.9K | 1.7% |
| Matthew Stafford | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $28.1K | 2.1% |
| Bo Nix | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $22.6K | 1.7% |
| Saquon Barkley | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $144.0K | 10.9% |
| Justin Jefferson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $22.5K | 1.7% |
| Jaxson Dart | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $47.7K | 3.6% |
| Baker Mayfield | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $138.5K | 10.5% |
| Bijan Robinson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $19.2K | 1.5% |
| De'Von Achane | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $19.7K | 1.5% |
| Sam Darnold | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $21.6K | 1.6% |
| Myles Garrett | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $23.4K | 1.8% |
| Puka Nacua | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $21.3K | 1.6% |
| Player J | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $21.4K | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 30¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.32M has been traded on this event in total, $10.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 40 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 26,091 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 26,091 | $18.1K |
| 0xa0f21e6d… | Yes | 19,881 | $6.1K |
| Pristine-Business | No | 6,401 | $4.4K |
| Narrow-Authorization | Yes | 2,003 | $611 |
| Lonely-Bog | Yes | 1,811 | $552 |
| LCB1 | Yes | 1,495 | $456 |
| Soggy-Mailer-Opening | No | 1,269 | $882 |
| Tiny-Tumbler | Yes | 980 | $299 |
| Informal-Index-Discovery | Yes | 867 | $264 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 789 | $241 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $74 |
| Oct 24, 01:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.5% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 04:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $195 |
| Oct 24, 04:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $195 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $131 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $131 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Josh Allen at 30.5%. Next is Brock Purdy at 26.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner?via=bro
$1.32M in total volume, with $10.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 40 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Josh Allen, priced at 30.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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