As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.7% in Will any player break the NFL single-season passing yards record in the 2026-27 season? — $89 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +16.3 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, No has traded between 48.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 80.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.7% |
No is favored at 80.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 81¢ | 80.7% | -0.1 pts | $89 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 19¢ | 19.3% | +0.1 pts | $89 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 37¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 38¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$89 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 5,477 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 26 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 26 | $5 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 20 | $16 |
| mskl | No | 12 | $10 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 03:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.7% | $0 |
| Sep 29, 01:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $8 |
| Sep 28, 08:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Sep 20, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.8% | $1 |
| Sep 20, 01:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Sep 20, 12:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Sep 19, 10:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Sep 16, 03:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $16 |
| Sep 14, 11:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.7%. Next is Yes at 19.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-single-season-passing-yards-record-broken-2026-27?via=bro
$89 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 80.7% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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