Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 68.5% in Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season? — $140 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yes
68%
A 68.5% price implies roughly a 68-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +19.0 pts30D +50.5 pts
Yes68.5%
No31.5%
Bid
39¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
59¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 28, 2026: 18.0% – 68.5% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season?
Category
NFL (All), Sports, football, Season stats
Scheduled end
January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$140
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 68.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 68.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +19.0 pts; past month: +50.5 pts.

Since August 28, 2026, Yes has traded between 18.0% and 68.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 68.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202668.0%
Oct 16, 202649.5%
Oct 18, 202649.5%
Oct 19, 202668.5%
Oct 20, 202668.5%
Oct 22, 202668.5%
Oct 23, 202668.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 68.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes68¢68.5%—$140100.0%
No32¢31.5%—$140100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 59¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$140 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Plump-ImplementationYes20$14
Sniveling-Developmental-LanternNo20$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $16 at 39.0%SELL Yes — $12 at 61.0%SELL Yes — $12 at 59.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 14, 10:23 AM ETNoSELL48.0%$10
Oct 10, 02:28 AM ETYesSELL59.0%$12
Oct 08, 03:35 PM ETYesSELL61.0%$12
Oct 08, 03:16 PM ETNoBUY39.0%$16
Oct 03, 08:02 PM ETYesBUY24.0%$5
Oct 03, 07:56 PM ETNoBUY24.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 68.5%. Next is No at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-single-season-receiving-touchdowns-record-broken-2026-27?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season??

$140 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will any player break the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record in the 2026-27 season?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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