As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 9.5% in Pump.fun airdrop by ....? — $2.79M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 9.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -12.5 pts.
Since December 30, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 8.0% and 66.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 9.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 9.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 9.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $198.9K | 7.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.79M has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,933 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Organic-Advertisement-Belligerency | Yes | 13,933 | $1.3K |
| Unique-Primary | No | 13,600 | $12.3K |
| Pristine-Business | Yes | 2,036 | $193 |
| Incomparable-Chandelier | No | 1,418 | $1.3K |
| Slow-Profit | No | 752 | $681 |
| Bold-Health | No | 694 | $628 |
| Naughty-Interpretation | Yes | 624 | $59 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 615 | $58 |
| Absolute-Consumption | Yes | 600 | $57 |
| Educated-Lysine | Yes | 597 | $57 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.8% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 03:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $54 |
| Oct 22, 01:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 21, 11:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.4% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 10:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 08:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 18, 04:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $70 |
| Oct 17, 02:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $17 |
| Oct 17, 02:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $36 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-airdop-by?via=bro
$2.79M in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 9.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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