As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 2.1% in Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...? — $140.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 2.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.6 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since August 26, 2026, December 31 has traded between 2.1% and 10.0%. It opened at 10.0% and last traded at 2.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 2.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.1% |
December 31 is favored at 2.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $1.9K | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$140.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 724 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smart-Average | No | 724 | $708 |
| Informal-Expertise | Yes | 415 | $9 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 411 | $9 |
| Mundane-Snug | No | 350 | $343 |
| Oval-Treaty | No | 163 | $160 |
| Unlawful-Bill | Yes | 119 | $3 |
| Wavy-Curve | Yes | 100 | $2 |
| 0x55332464… | Yes | 77 | $2 |
| Untimely-Shield-Trout | Yes | 72 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 67 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 04:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 01:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 01:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.1% | $2 |
| Oct 07, 04:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $100 |
| Oct 07, 04:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $100 |
| Oct 07, 04:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $300 |
| Oct 07, 01:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $96 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/putin-and-zelenskyy-shake-hands-by-june-30?via=bro
$140.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 2.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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