As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 86.0% in Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? — $5.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 86.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +4.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 81.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 82.5% and last traded at 81.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.5% |
No is favored at 86.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 86¢ | 86.0% | +3.0 pts | $5.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 14¢ | 14.0% | -3.0 pts | $5.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 15¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.5K has been traded on this event in total, $57 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Vladimir Putin visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vladimir Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Vladimir Putin enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 623 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 623 | $87 |
| Reckless-Objective-Grit | No | 540 | $464 |
| Tough-Trader-Underpass | No | 530 | $456 |
| Pungent-Washbasin | Yes | 509 | $71 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 400 | $56 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 399 | $343 |
| Vigorous-Nobody | Yes | 250 | $35 |
| Gifted-Rancher | Yes | 200 | $28 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera | No | 200 | $172 |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 200 | $28 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $50 |
| Oct 23, 07:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 06:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 06:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 06:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.8% | $84 |
| Oct 23, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $161 |
| Oct 23, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 06:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 86.0%. Next is Yes at 14.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/putin-visits-us-by-december-31-2026?via=bro
$5.5K in total volume, with $57 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 86.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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