As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 73.0% in Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings? — $887 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +3.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 62.0% and 85.0%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 69.5%.
Yes is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73¢ | 73.0% | +2.5 pts | $887 | 100.0% |
| No | 27¢ | 27.0% | -2.5 pts | $887 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 70¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$887 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, PayPal is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for PayPal’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.34 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if PayPal reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.34 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If PayPal releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PYPL/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 240 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 240 | $65 |
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 200 | $146 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 60 | $44 |
| Grim-Gift-Fillet | No | 30 | $8 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 30 | $22 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 20 | $5 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 7 | $5 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 7 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 09:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $38 |
| Oct 21, 01:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 11:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 06:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $84 |
| Oct 20, 02:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $15 |
| Oct 20, 02:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.0% | $36 |
| Oct 19, 02:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $26 |
| Oct 19, 02:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 73.0%. Next is No at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pypl-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-1pt34?via=bro
$887 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PYPL/earnings.
Yes, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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