As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $50M at 58.5% in QFEX FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $37.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $50M, is priced at 58.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since March 25, 2026, $50M has traded between 33.5% and 75.5%. It opened at 66.5% and last traded at 58.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.5% |
$50M is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $16.2K | 43.7% |
| $80M | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $5.3K | 14.3% |
| $100M | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $8.9K | 23.9% |
| $200M | 28¢ | 28.0% | — | $3.8K | 10.1% |
| $300M | 23¢ | 23.0% | +2.5 pts | $2.5K | 6.8% |
| $500M | 22¢ | 22.5% | +0.5 pts | $430 | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 57¢ / ask 60¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$37.1K has been traded on this event in total, $130 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/QFEX
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,240 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Icon | Yes | 1,240 | $725 |
| 0xf22b9260… | No | 968 | $402 |
| Tinted-Raft | Yes | 940 | $550 |
| Writhing-Locker | Yes | 482 | $282 |
| Profitable-Punishment | No | 452 | $188 |
| Mad-Research-Wasp | No | 354 | $147 |
| Unsteady-Rice | No | 278 | $115 |
| Thick-Ephyra | Yes | 202 | $118 |
| Pristine-Business | No | 201 | $83 |
| Belated-Meringue | No | 192 | $80 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 57.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 03:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 11:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $43 |
| Oct 21, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $22 |
| Oct 21, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $100 |
| Oct 21, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.6% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $50M at 58.5%. Next is $80M at 46.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/qfex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$37.1K in total volume, with $130 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/QFEX.
$50M, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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