As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera at 72.5% in Querétaro Governor Election Winner — $38.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera, is priced at 72.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.0 pts; past week: +14.5 pts; past month: +34.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera has traded between 12.5% and 72.5%. It opened at 18.5% and last traded at 72.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 72.5% |
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera is favored at 72.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera | 72¢ | 72.5% | +12.0 pts | $5.9K | 15.4% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santiago Nieto Castillo | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.2K | 5.8% |
| Laura Patricia Polo Herrera | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $1.2K | 3.2% |
| José María Tapia Franco | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $977 | 2.5% |
| Josué Guerrero Trápala | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.1K | 2.8% |
| Teresa Calzada Rovirosa | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.2K | 3.0% |
| Ricardo Astudillo Suárez | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $1.0K | 2.6% |
| Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.2K | 3.0% |
| Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero | 0¢ | 0.5% | -5.5 pts | $10.7K | 27.9% |
| Paulina Aguado Romero | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $837 | 2.2% |
| Gilberto Herrera Ruiz | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $701 | 1.8% |
| Mario Mauro Ramírez González | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.2K | 3.1% |
| Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $845 | 2.2% |
| Manuel Garrido Patrón | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.3K | 3.4% |
| Paul Ospital Carrera | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $774 | 2.0% |
| Abigail Arredondo Ramos | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $875 | 2.3% |
| Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $925 | 2.4% |
| Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $972 | 2.5% |
| Agustín Hernández Ortiz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $698 | 1.8% |
| Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.3K | 8.6% |
| Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $542 | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 33¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.5K has been traded on this event in total, $842 of it in the last 24 hours, across 48 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,627 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,627 | $448 |
| 0xf56e8e71… | Yes | 1,006 | $730 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 404 | $293 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 208 | $57 |
| 0x67e6a618… | Yes | 165 | $120 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 156 | $113 |
| Intentional-Engagement | Yes | 63 | $46 |
| Golden-Panpipe | No | 50 | $14 |
| Misty-Enthusiasm | Yes | 44 | $32 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 40 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.6% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 06:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 09:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera at 72.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/queretaro-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$38.5K in total volume, with $842 traded in the last 24 hours across 48 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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