As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Eugenio Segura Vázquez at 77.5% in Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner — $43.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Eugenio Segura Vázquez, is priced at 77.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Eugenio Segura Vázquez has traded between 5.5% and 81.5%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 77.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 77.5% |
Eugenio Segura Vázquez is favored at 77.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Segura Vázquez | 78¢ | 77.5% | — | $12.0K | 27.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $9.1K | 21.1% |
| Rafael Marín Mollinedo | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $10.6K | 24.6% |
| Reyna Tamayo Carballo | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $740 | 1.7% |
| Marybel Villegas Canché | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $2.8K | 6.6% |
| José Luis Pech Várguez | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $565 | 1.3% |
| Estefanía Mercado Asencio | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $2.3K | 5.3% |
| Amalia Castilla Madrid | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $520 | 1.2% |
| Lidia Rojas Fabro | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $480 | 1.1% |
| Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $597 | 1.4% |
| Mayuli Martínez Simón | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $567 | 1.3% |
| Leslie Hendricks Rubio | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $485 | 1.1% |
| Pedro José Flota Alcocer | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $560 | 1.3% |
| Alexa Murguía Trujillo | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $662 | 1.5% |
| Filiberto Martínez Méndez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $611 | 1.4% |
| David Ortiz Mena | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $487 | 1.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$43.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 43 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,848 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,848 | $1.4K |
| Fearful-Congress | No | 1,805 | $406 |
| Known-Use | No | 579 | $130 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 550 | $426 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 483 | $109 |
| Mad-School | Yes | 393 | $305 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 367 | $284 |
| Embellished-Doorbell | No | 141 | $32 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 105 | $24 |
| Yummy-Winter | Yes | 100 | $78 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.6% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 08:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.7% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $29 |
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $17 |
| Oct 13, 07:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 04:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 04:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $47 |
| Oct 08, 11:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 02:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Eugenio Segura Vázquez at 77.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/quintana-roo-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$43.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 43 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Eugenio Segura Vázquez, priced at 77.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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