Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 35.0% in Rahul Gandhi arrested by...? — $6.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $60.
Leading outcome
December 31
35%
A 35.0% price implies roughly a 35-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +4.5 pts
December 3135.0%
October 314.5%
Bid
33¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 12, 2026: 30.5% – 57.0% · Opened at 57.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?
Category
India, Politics, Cockroach Party
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$6.4K
Volume (24h)
$60
Liquidity
$31.1K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 35.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 35.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.5 pts.

Since October 12, 2026, December 31 has traded between 30.5% and 57.0%. It opened at 57.0% and last traded at 35.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202633.0%
Oct 16, 202632.0%
Oct 18, 202630.5%
Oct 19, 202630.5%
Oct 20, 202633.5%
Oct 24, 202635.0%
Oct 24, 202635.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 35.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3135¢35.0%—$4.3K67.3%
October 314¢4.5%—$2.1K32.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$6.4K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rahul Gandhi is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Rahul Gandhi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, chargesheet, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for remand, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in a chargesheet, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 116 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes116$41
Snappy-RoosterNo84$55
Minor-RoseNo61$40
Direct-ChainstayYes26$9
Empty-AnnualNo21$14
Straight-WrinkleYes20$7
Pesky-StepuncleYes20$7
Plump-ImplementationNo17$11
Known-UseNo17$11
0x46299616…Yes10$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $200 at 87.5%SELL No — $188 at 75.0%BUY No — $40 at 67.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 12:17 PM ETNoBUY67.0%$40
Oct 23, 12:37 PM ETNoSELL57.0%$11
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETNoSELL65.4%$26
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETNoSELL66.0%$1
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETNoSELL75.0%$188
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$11
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$6
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$7
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETNoBUY70.0%$14
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETYesBUY26.0%$16

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Rahul Gandhi arrested by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 35.0%. Next is October 31 at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rahul-gandhi-arrested-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Rahul Gandhi arrested by...??

$6.4K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Rahul Gandhi arrested by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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