As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 76.5% in Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +6.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 62.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 71.0% and last traded at 76.0%.
Yes is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76¢ | 76.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.3K | 100.0% |
| No | 24¢ | 23.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Royal Caribbean is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Royal Caribbean’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $6.44 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Royal Caribbean reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $6.44 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Royal Caribbean releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/RCL/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 233 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 233 | $55 |
| Witty-Birch | Yes | 223 | $171 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 51 | $39 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 50 | $12 |
| Impassioned-Monk | Yes | 7 | $5 |
| Simplistic-Ascent | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 06:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 06:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 24.8% | $62 |
| Oct 22, 03:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $38 |
| Oct 22, 03:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $76 |
| Oct 22, 03:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $38 |
| Oct 20, 11:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 11:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 11:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.7% | $70 |
| Oct 20, 11:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 76.5%. Next is No at 23.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rcl-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-6pt44?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/RCL/earnings.
Yes, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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