As of October 24, 2026, 09:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Tsarukyan at 61.0% in Real American Freestyle: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Neiman Gracie — $11 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Tsarukyan, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -11.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Tsarukyan has traded between 61.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 61.0%.
Tsarukyan is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tsarukyan | 61¢ | 61.0% | -11.0 pts | $11 | 100.0% |
| Gracie | 39¢ | 39.0% | +11.0 pts | $11 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 64¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Tsarukyan" if Arman Tsarukyan is officially declared the winner of the match against Neiman Gracie at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Gracie" if Neiman Gracie is officially declared the winner. If the match ends level on points or in any form of draw, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of Real American Freestyle, including any tiebreaker criteria. If no official winner is designated under those rules, or if the match is ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." If either wrestler is replaced, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real American Freestyle (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11 shares of Tsarukyan.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elastic-Tanktop | Tsarukyan | 11 | $7 |
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | Gracie | 11 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:03 AM ET | Tsarukyan | BUY | 93.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Tsarukyan at 61.0%. Next is Gracie at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/real-american-freestyle-arman-tsarukyan-vs-neiman-gracie?via=bro
$11 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/.
Tsarukyan, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.