As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chimaev at 55.0% in Real American Freestyle: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Colby Covington — $29 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Chimaev, is priced at 55.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Chimaev has traded between 47.5% and 71.0%. It opened at 71.0% and last traded at 55.0%.
Chimaev is favored at 55.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chimaev | 55¢ | 55.0% | +7.5 pts | $29 | 100.0% |
| Covington | 45¢ | 45.0% | -7.5 pts | $29 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 58¢ (bid 26¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29 has been traded on this event in total, $18 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Chimaev" if Khamzat Chimaev is officially declared the winner of the match against Colby Covington at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Covington" if Colby Covington is officially declared the winner. If the match ends level on points or in any form of draw, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of Real American Freestyle, including any tiebreaker criteria. If no official winner is designated under those rules, or if the match is ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." If either wrestler is replaced, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real American Freestyle (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 29 shares of Covington.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murky-Freak | Covington | 29 | $13 |
| Winding-Family-Mustache | Chimaev | 18 | $10 |
| Elastic-Tanktop | Chimaev | 11 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | Chimaev | BUY | 84.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 11:07 AM ET | Chimaev | BUY | 89.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chimaev at 55.0%. Next is Covington at 45.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/real-american-freestyle-khamzat-chimaev-vs-colby-covington?via=bro
$29 in total volume, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/.
Chimaev, priced at 55.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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