As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 70.0% in Will The RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings? — $791 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 70.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 67.5% and 75.0%. It opened at 75.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
Yes is favored at 70.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70¢ | 70.0% | +4.0 pts | $791 | 100.0% |
| No | 30¢ | 30.0% | -4.0 pts | $791 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 69¢ / ask 71¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$791 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, The RealReal is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for The RealReal’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.00 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if The RealReal reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.00 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If The RealReal releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/REAL/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 159 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 159 | $48 |
| Primary-Weather-Bungalow | Yes | 71 | $50 |
| Insidious-Meteor | Yes | 40 | $28 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 24 | $17 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 19 | $13 |
| Motherly-Guideline | No | 11 | $3 |
| Angelic-Craw | No | 4 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 05:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $18 |
| Oct 20, 09:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $30 |
| Oct 19, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $20 |
| Oct 19, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $20 |
| Oct 17, 10:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 27.9% | $44 |
| Oct 17, 02:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $22 |
| Oct 17, 07:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 70.0%. Next is No at 30.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/real-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-29-2026-0pt00?via=bro
$791 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/REAL/earnings.
Yes, priced at 70.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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