As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $100M at 49.5% in Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $57.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $100M, is priced at 49.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +4.0 pts.
Since February 11, 2026, $100M has traded between 31.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 55.5% and last traded at 49.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.5% |
$100M is favored at 49.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $23.7K | 41.4% |
| $500M | 34¢ | 34.0% | -1.0 pts | $10.7K | 18.6% |
| $300M | 32¢ | 32.0% | — | $5.2K | 9.1% |
| $1.2B | 29¢ | 28.9% | -0.1 pts | $882 | 1.5% |
| $900M | 28¢ | 28.0% | +2.1 pts | $3.8K | 6.7% |
| $1B | 27¢ | 26.6% | -3.1 pts | $2.9K | 5.1% |
| $1.5B | 26¢ | 26.1% | -1.4 pts | $1.4K | 2.4% |
| $600M | 26¢ | 25.5% | -5.5 pts | $1.8K | 3.1% |
| $800M | 25¢ | 25.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.0K | 3.4% |
| $700M | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $4.9K | 8.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 46¢ / ask 53¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$57.2K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/Relayprotocol
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 933 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe5c72aca… | Yes | 933 | $462 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 628 | $317 |
| alts4life | No | 463 | $234 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 268 | $135 |
| Hasty-Behaviour | Yes | 236 | $117 |
| Blaring-Tail | Yes | 207 | $103 |
| Medical-Speakerphone | Yes | 200 | $99 |
| Well-Groomed-Wrapping | Yes | 193 | $96 |
| Tinted-Source | No | 177 | $89 |
| Superb-Crop | No | 156 | $79 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 09:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 12:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 04:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 07:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 08:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $5 |
| Oct 14, 10:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $8 |
| Oct 14, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $8 |
| Oct 14, 07:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $16 |
| Oct 10, 08:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $28 |
| Oct 10, 05:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $100M at 49.5%. Next is $500M at 34.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/relay-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$57.2K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/Relayprotocol.
$100M, priced at 49.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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