As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Marco Rubio at 28.5% in Republican VP Nominee 2028 — $54.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Marco Rubio, is priced at 28.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since April 17, 2026, Marco Rubio has traded between 12.5% and 33.5%. It opened at 17.0% and last traded at 28.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 28.5% |
Marco Rubio is favored at 28.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 28¢ | 28.5% | — | $12.3K | 22.7% |
| Pete Hegseth | 20¢ | 20.0% | -0.9 pts | $1.4K | 2.6% |
| Katie Britt | 18¢ | 18.1% | -2.2 pts | $758 | 1.4% |
| Ron DeSantis | 11¢ | 11.2% | +9.2 pts | $1.2K | 2.2% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 9¢ | 9.0% | +1.5 pts | $879 | 1.6% |
| J.D. Vance | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $4.5K | 8.3% |
| Greg Abbott | 6¢ | 5.9% | +0.9 pts | $1.1K | 2.0% |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 6¢ | 5.7% | — | $2.5K | 4.6% |
| Thomas Massie | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.1% |
| Ivanka Trump | 3¢ | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $688 | 1.3% |
| Donald Trump | 3¢ | 3.3% | -1.0 pts | $2.4K | 4.5% |
| Joe Kent | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $925 | 1.7% |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 3¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K | 3.6% |
| Kristi Noem | 3¢ | 2.5% | -0.4 pts | $589 | 1.1% |
| Tucker Carlson | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $886 | 1.6% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.9 pts | $895 | 1.7% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.2 pts | $888 | 1.6% |
| Ted Cruz | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.4 pts | $1.6K | 3.0% |
| Elise Stefanik | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $844 | 1.6% |
| Nikki Haley | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $1.3K | 2.4% |
| Brian Kemp | 1¢ | 1.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.3K | 2.5% |
| Byron Donalds | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.4 pts | $1.3K | 2.3% |
| Josh Hawley | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.8 pts | $966 | 1.8% |
| John Thune | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.2 pts | $1.5K | 2.7% |
| Eric Trump | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.1% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $1.9K | 3.5% |
| Rand Paul | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $753 | 1.4% |
| Kim Kardashian | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.1 pts | $545 | 1.0% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K | 2.5% |
| Matt Gaetz | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $849 | 1.6% |
| Erika Kirk | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $984 | 1.8% |
| Mike Pence | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $694 | 1.3% |
| Steve Bannon | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $837 | 1.5% |
| Elon Musk | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.2 pts | $641 | 1.2% |
| Tom Brady | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $706 | 1.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$54.2K has been traded on this event in total, $90 of it in the last 24 hours, across 127 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution source: https://www.gop.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,465 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,465 | $1.0K |
| Untimely-Fresco | Yes | 951 | $271 |
| Vapid-Validate | Yes | 831 | $237 |
| Watery-Fitness | Yes | 639 | $182 |
| Indelible-Dhow | No | 500 | $358 |
| Dull-Universe | No | 385 | $276 |
| Snarling-Mile | No | 261 | $186 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | Yes | 245 | $70 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 176 | $126 |
| 0xf040b361… | No | 147 | $105 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $23 |
| Oct 20, 07:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 10:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $18 |
| Oct 19, 03:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 11:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.8% | $46 |
| Oct 17, 01:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $6 |
| Oct 15, 11:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 10:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $48 |
| Oct 15, 09:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Marco Rubio at 28.5%. Next is Pete Hegseth at 20.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-nominee-2028?via=bro
$54.2K in total volume, with $90 traded in the last 24 hours across 127 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.gop.com.
Marco Rubio, priced at 28.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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