As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $150M at 13.0% in Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $524.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $150M, is priced at 13.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: -9.5 pts.
Since November 26, 2025, $150M has traded between 10.5% and 91.0%. It opened at 91.0% and last traded at 13.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 16.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 16.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 13.0% |
$150M is favored at 13.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $150M | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.0 pts | $92.9K | 17.7% |
| $10M | 12¢ | 12.5% | -6.0 pts | $10.2K | 1.9% |
| $40M | 12¢ | 11.5% | -8.0 pts | $6.6K | 1.3% |
| $70M | 11¢ | 11.0% | -10.5 pts | $23.0K | 4.4% |
| $200M | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $139.1K | 26.5% |
| $300M | 7¢ | 7.1% | -0.1 pts | $35.3K | 6.7% |
| $400M | 6¢ | 5.8% | -1.4 pts | $35.0K | 6.7% |
| $1B | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $182.4K | 34.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$524.5K has been traded on this event in total, $2.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/reya_xyz
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,648 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violet-Gold | Yes | 6,648 | $864 |
| Past-Anybody | No | 3,823 | $3.3K |
| Candid-Lighting | No | 2,747 | $2.4K |
| Authentic-Humor | Yes | 2,008 | $261 |
| Fortunate-Document | No | 1,500 | $1.3K |
| Loathsome-Overweight | Yes | 1,413 | $184 |
| Ragged-Optimist | No | 1,250 | $1.1K |
| Icy-Conviction | No | 991 | $862 |
| Simplistic-Hydrolyse | No | 760 | $661 |
| Small-Blowhole | No | 605 | $526 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 10:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.5% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 05:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $63 |
| Oct 23, 05:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $26 |
| Oct 23, 05:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 05:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.9% | $191 |
| Oct 23, 05:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $44 |
| Oct 23, 05:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $43 |
| Oct 23, 11:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $42 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $150M at 13.0%. Next is $10M at 12.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$524.5K in total volume, with $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/reya_xyz.
$150M, priced at 13.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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