As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.9% in RFK Jr. Out by October 31? — $2.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -30.4 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, No has traded between 68.5% and 97.3%. It opened at 93.5% and last traded at 96.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.7% |
No is favored at 96.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.9% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.1 pts | $2.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 194 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 194 | $6 |
| Barren-Expectancy | No | 189 | $183 |
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 157 | $152 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 157 | $5 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 100 | $97 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 80 | $2 |
| Trivial-Idea | No | 74 | $72 |
| Intent-Beck | No | 57 | $56 |
| Sizzling-Patience | Yes | 53 | $2 |
| Sweltering-Passion-Fragrance | Yes | 49 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 06:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.6% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 05:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $56 |
| Oct 08, 11:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 11:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $6 |
| Oct 04, 01:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $15 |
| Oct 03, 05:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 05:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.6% | $22 |
| Oct 03, 07:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $9 |
| Oct 02, 07:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 02:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.9%. Next is Yes at 3.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-out-by-october-31?via=bro
$2.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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