Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price David West at 96.9% in Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $8.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $30.
Leading outcome
David West
97%
A 96.9% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.4 pts7D −0.1 pts30D −0.4 pts
David West96.9%
Person A50.0%
Bid
96¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 24, 2026: 92.8% – 98.9% · Opened at 94.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Category
Canada, Politics, Elections, Main Election, World Elections, Global Elections, Mayoral Elections
Scheduled end
October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$8.2K
Volume (24h)
$30
Liquidity
$42.3K
Markets
27
Leading outcome
David West — 96.9%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, David West, is priced at 96.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.4 pts.

Since August 24, 2026, David West has traded between 92.8% and 98.9%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 97.0%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202697.0%
Oct 15, 202697.0%
Oct 16, 202697.0%
Oct 18, 202696.9%
Oct 19, 202697.2%
Oct 20, 202697.2%
Oct 24, 202697.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

David West is favored at 96.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
David West97¢96.9%-0.4 pts$7.3K89.0%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Domenic Bardari3¢3.2%+1.5 pts$4245.2%
Holo Devnani3¢2.6%+0.8 pts$4735.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$8.2K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The 2026 Richmond Hill, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Richmond Hill, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Richmond Hill, Ontario.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,192 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityYes2,192$2.1K
Snappy-RoosterNo600$19
FrankyFourFingersNo262$8
0xa5ef39c3…No243$8
Arid-CinemaNo223$7
Oddball-PoisonNo166$5
Long-Term-OverheadNo151$5
Stale-CashewNo135$4
Responsible-ConceptNo130$4
Belated-GlueNo85$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $216 at 98.1%SELL Yes — $160 at 97.1%SELL Yes — $114 at 97.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 11:59 PM ETYesBUY2.0%$0
Oct 23, 11:59 PM ETYesBUY2.6%$0
Oct 22, 08:46 PM ETYesBUY2.4%$0
Oct 22, 08:32 PM ETYesBUY2.2%$0
Oct 22, 02:43 AM ETYesSELL95.6%$0
Oct 22, 02:43 AM ETYesSELL95.6%$0
Oct 22, 02:43 AM ETYesSELL95.6%$72
Oct 21, 07:47 PM ETYesBUY1.8%$1
Oct 21, 07:43 PM ETNoBUY4.4%$0
Oct 21, 07:43 PM ETNoBUY98.4%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is David West at 96.9%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/richmond-hill-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner?

$8.2K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.

When does Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

David West, priced at 96.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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