As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Allyson at 65.5% in Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner — $115.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Allyson, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, Allyson has traded between 18.0% and 88.0%. It opened at 18.0% and last traded at 66.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 57.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.5% |
Allyson is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson | 66¢ | 65.5% | -5.0 pts | $57.4K | 49.7% |
| Placeholder 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 7 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 8 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 9 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 10 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 11 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 12 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 13 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 14 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 15 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 16 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cadu de Lula | 32¢ | 32.5% | +4.5 pts | $46.6K | 40.4% |
| Álvaro Dias | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $6.5K | 5.6% |
| Arinalda do MLB | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $778 | 0.7% |
| Carlos Jararaca | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $801 | 0.7% |
| Dário Barbosa | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $797 | 0.7% |
| Henrique Lyra | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $806 | 0.7% |
| Professor Roberio Paulino | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $921 | 0.8% |
| Rodrigo Bolsonaro | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $893 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 64¢ / ask 67¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$115.5K has been traded on this event in total, $11.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 26 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolution source: https://www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 14,296 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 14,296 | $4.9K |
| Each-Jeans | Yes | 3,321 | $2.2K |
| Grounded-Halibut | Yes | 2,226 | $1.5K |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 1,435 | $495 |
| Single-Antique | No | 1,406 | $485 |
| Crisp-Photographer | Yes | 1,340 | $878 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 1,327 | $869 |
| Each-Summary | No | 1,098 | $379 |
| False-Liquor | Yes | 1,092 | $715 |
| Offensive-Tonic | Yes | 992 | $650 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $581 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $88 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Allyson at 65.5%. Next is Placeholder 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-norte-governor-election-winner?via=bro
$115.5K in total volume, with $11.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 26 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes.
Allyson, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.