Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chinda Kingsley Ogundu at 89.0% in Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — $19.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $77.
Leading outcome
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu
89%
A 89.0% price implies roughly a 89-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts7D −5.0 pts30D +6.5 pts
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu89.0%
Candidate C50.0%
Bid
88¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 21, 2026: 43.0% – 94.5% · Opened at 43.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Category
africa, Nigeria, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections, Nigerian Election, Nigerian Governor Election
Scheduled end
February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$19.4K
Volume (24h)
$77
Liquidity
$133.7K
Markets
35
Leading outcome
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu — 89.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Chinda Kingsley Ogundu, is priced at 89.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.

Since August 21, 2026, Chinda Kingsley Ogundu has traded between 43.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 89.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202694.0%
Oct 18, 202688.5%
Oct 19, 202690.5%
Oct 20, 202687.0%
Oct 22, 202688.0%
Oct 23, 202688.5%
Oct 24, 202689.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Chinda Kingsley Ogundu is favored at 89.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu89¢89.0%+1.0 pts$16.0K82.6%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Dumo Lulu-Briggs5¢4.8%+0.4 pts$7533.9%
Nuka Nwigbo5¢4.8%+0.1 pts$3321.7%
Chima Boms4¢4.0%-0.5 pts$3952.0%
Gabriel Pidomson3¢3.5%—$3982.1%
Blessing Fubara3¢3.0%-0.5 pts$3541.8%
Farah Dagogo3¢2.7%+0.2 pts$2751.4%
Nature Dumale Kieghe0¢0.4%—$2891.5%
Richard Enyinha Victor0¢0.4%—$2341.2%
Sam Ejekwu0¢0.2%—$3501.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$19.4K has been traded on this event in total, $77 of it in the last 24 hours, across 35 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Rivers State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,002 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Wan-GymnasticsYes3,002$2.7K
Near-FamiliarNo1,892$208
Awesome-AvailabilityYes872$776
Belated-GlueNo779$86
Chief-PlotNo758$83
0xa5ef39c3…No348$38
BelgaronYes300$267
Grim-GarageNo103$11
Arid-CinemaNo100$11
Direct-ChainstayNo72$8

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $81 at 95.2%BUY No — $75 at 88.8%SELL Yes — $35 at 85.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:51 AM ETYesBUY4.5%$0
Oct 22, 05:34 AM ETNoSELL11.0%$4
Oct 21, 02:28 PM ETYesSELL87.0%$8
Oct 19, 02:50 AM ETYesBUY1.3%$1
Oct 18, 09:26 PM ETYesSELL85.0%$35
Oct 18, 04:27 PM ETNoSELL4.0%$0
Oct 18, 01:49 PM ETNoBUY5.0%$0
Oct 18, 01:49 PM ETNoBUY98.8%$8
Oct 18, 01:49 PM ETNoBUY99.2%$8
Oct 18, 01:07 PM ETNoSELL5.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chinda Kingsley Ogundu at 89.0%. Next is Candidate C at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rivers-nigeria-governor-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?

$19.4K in total volume, with $77 traded in the last 24 hours across 35 markets.

When does Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Chinda Kingsley Ogundu, priced at 89.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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