As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 25.5% in Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...? — $11.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 25.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: -34.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, October 31 has traded between 20.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 28.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 20.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 28.0% |
October 31 is favored at 25.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 26¢ | 25.5% | +3.5 pts | $5.0K | 43.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 29¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.3K has been traded on this event in total, $838 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Only departures occurring after market creation will count. All departures displayed by FlightAware count toward the threshold, regardless of airline, destination, or flight type. Obviously erroneous departures will not count toward the threshold, whether or not FlightAware corrects them. A departure is obviously erroneous if FlightAware's own flight data (e.g., its flight map, track, or track log) shows that the aircraft did not take off from RUH, such as a flight shown departing RUH based on its scheduled routing while its track originates at a different airport. Multiple listings of the same physical departure (e.g., codeshare flight numbers) will count as a single departure. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 752 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spectacular-Failure | No | 752 | $560 |
| Measly-Commotion | Yes | 400 | $102 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 243 | $62 |
| Yellow-City | Yes | 200 | $51 |
| Calm-Dusk | Yes | 200 | $51 |
| Queasy-Airship | No | 159 | $119 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry | Yes | 147 | $37 |
| Glistening-Naming | No | 104 | $78 |
| Previous-Seafood | No | 100 | $74 |
| Plush-Reminder | No | 76 | $56 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.8% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 03:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.7% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 01:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.4% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 12:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/riyadh-airport-reopens-byptptpt?via=bro
$11.3K in total volume, with $838 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 25.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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