Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 25.5% in Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...? — $11.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $838.
Leading outcome
October 31
26%
A 25.5% price implies roughly a 26-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.5 pts7D −34.0 pts
Bid
11¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
29¢
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Range since October 12, 2026: 20.5% – 66.0% · Opened at 65.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
Category
Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East, Saudi Arabia
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$11.3K
Volume (24h)
$838
Liquidity
$303
Markets
1
Leading outcome
October 31 — 25.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 25.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: -34.0 pts.

Since October 12, 2026, October 31 has traded between 20.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 28.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202662.5%
Oct 18, 202664.5%
Oct 19, 202653.0%
Oct 20, 202652.0%
Oct 22, 202631.5%
Oct 23, 202620.5%
Oct 24, 202628.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

October 31 is favored at 25.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
October 3126¢25.5%+3.5 pts$5.0K43.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 29¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$11.3K has been traded on this event in total, $838 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Only departures occurring after market creation will count. All departures displayed by FlightAware count toward the threshold, regardless of airline, destination, or flight type. Obviously erroneous departures will not count toward the threshold, whether or not FlightAware corrects them. A departure is obviously erroneous if FlightAware's own flight data (e.g., its flight map, track, or track log) shows that the aircraft did not take off from RUH, such as a flight shown departing RUH based on its scheduled routing while its track originates at a different airport. Multiple listings of the same physical departure (e.g., codeshare flight numbers) will count as a single departure. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 752 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Spectacular-FailureNo752$560
Measly-CommotionYes400$102
Belated-GlueYes243$62
Yellow-CityYes200$51
Calm-DuskYes200$51
Queasy-AirshipNo159$119
Mushy-AsymmetryYes147$37
Glistening-NamingNo104$78
Previous-SeafoodNo100$74
Plush-ReminderNo76$56

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $151 at 70.0%SELL No — $88 at 70.9%BUY Yes — $50 at 55.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:11 PM ETYesSELL14.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:43 PM ETYesBUY52.0%$10
Oct 24, 03:41 PM ETYesBUY23.8%$40
Oct 24, 03:40 PM ETYesBUY18.7%$43
Oct 24, 09:21 AM ETNoBUY92.0%$1
Oct 24, 05:50 AM ETNoSELL87.0%$7
Oct 24, 01:55 AM ETYesBUY12.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:54 AM ETYesSELL14.4%$37
Oct 24, 12:35 AM ETYesBUY19.0%$2
Oct 24, 12:35 AM ETYesBUY19.0%$11

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/riyadh-airport-reopens-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...??

$11.3K in total volume, with $838 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

October 31, priced at 25.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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