As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31, 2026 at 1.2% in Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...? — $57.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, 2026, is priced at 1.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.7 pts; past week: -34.2 pts; past month: -27.8 pts.
Since July 30, 2026, October 31, 2026 has traded between 1.2% and 48.4%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 1.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 35.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 23.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 5.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 1.2% |
October 31, 2026 is favored at 1.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31, 2026 | 1¢ | 1.2% | -0.7 pts | $306 | 0.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$57.1K has been traded on this event in total, $44 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frozen-Wrist | No | 75 | $74 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 57 | $1 |
| Hopeful-Burnout | No | 37 | $36 |
| Favorable-Enzyme | Yes | 34 | $0 |
| Weak-Flesh | No | 22 | $22 |
| Honored-Roll | Yes | 22 | $0 |
| Shabby-Personnel-Lift | Yes | 19 | $0 |
| Different-Windshield | No | 11 | $11 |
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | Yes | 10 | $0 |
| Puzzling-Consulate-Bestseller | Yes | 8 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 03:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $27 |
| Oct 19, 07:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 09:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.2% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 06:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.7% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 05:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 05:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 10:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 07:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 12:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31, 2026 at 1.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rodrigo-paz-out-as-president-of-bolivia-by?via=bro
$57.1K in total volume, with $44 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, 2026, priced at 1.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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