As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.0% in Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2? — $795 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -4.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 88.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
No is favored at 92.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.0% | +1.0 pts | $795 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.0% | -1.0 pts | $795 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$795 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Rogers (R)'s hourly odds value is higher than Abdul El-Sayed (D)'s hourly odds value in the "Michigan Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Mike Rogers (R) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 272 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Experienced-Smell-Railroad | No | 272 | $250 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 200 | $16 |
| Golden-Panpipe | Yes | 75 | $6 |
| Grumpy-Invader | No | 61 | $56 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth | Yes | 41 | $3 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 27 | $25 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 22 | $2 |
| Bewitched-Chronicle | No | 21 | $19 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Irresponsible-Chord-Hunter | Yes | 17 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 06:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $19 |
| Oct 17, 04:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 09:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.6% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $19 |
| Oct 16, 06:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.0%. Next is Yes at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/rogers-flips-el-sayed-for-michigan-senate-by-november-2?via=bro
$795 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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