As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $50M at 82.5% in Saturn FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $30.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $50M, is priced at 82.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +12.5 pts; past month: +17.0 pts.
Since June 23, 2026, $50M has traded between 41.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 82.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.5% |
$50M is favored at 82.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 82¢ | 82.5% | — | $14.4K | 47.6% |
| $100M | 72¢ | 71.5% | — | $5.0K | 16.5% |
| $200M | 56¢ | 56.0% | +14.5 pts | $1.5K | 4.8% |
| $300M | 40¢ | 40.5% | +2.0 pts | $894 | 3.0% |
| $400M | 16¢ | 16.5% | -2.5 pts | $752 | 2.5% |
| $600M | 8¢ | 7.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K | 6.5% |
| $500M | 8¢ | 7.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 4.7% |
| $700M | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $2.5K | 8.3% |
| $800M | 3¢ | 2.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.2K | 4.0% |
| $1B | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $652 | 2.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.3K has been traded on this event in total, $120 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Saturn's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Saturn will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Saturn (https://x.com/saturn_credit) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/saturn_credit
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overcooked-Scrutiny | Yes | 2,000 | $1.6K |
| Sure-Footed-Pseudoscience | No | 1,242 | $217 |
| Violet-Methodology | Yes | 600 | $495 |
| All-Milestone | No | 549 | $96 |
| Rowdy-Innocent | No | 523 | $92 |
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | No | 347 | $61 |
| Adolescent-Guilty | No | 324 | $57 |
| Sandy-Canopy | Yes | 276 | $227 |
| Mediocre-Finger | No | 272 | $48 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 271 | $47 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $20 |
| Oct 20, 03:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 73.0% | $7 |
| Oct 18, 06:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.7% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 06:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 06:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 06:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 06:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 06:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 06:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $50M at 82.5%. Next is $100M at 71.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/saturn-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260623191408697?via=bro
$30.3K in total volume, with $120 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/saturn_credit.
$50M, priced at 82.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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