Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 20.0% in Saudi troops enter Taiz by...? — $15.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31
20%
A 20.0% price implies roughly a 20-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts7D +6.0 pts
December 3120.0%
October 312.1%
Bid
19¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 02, 2026: 8.0% – 45.5% · Opened at 45.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
Category
Yemen, Military, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East, Saudi Arabia
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$15.7K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$46.6K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 20.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 20.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +6.0 pts.

Since October 02, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.0% and 45.5%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 20.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202613.5%
Oct 16, 202612.5%
Oct 18, 202614.0%
Oct 19, 202614.0%
Oct 20, 202614.0%
Oct 24, 202620.0%
Oct 24, 202620.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 20.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3120¢20.0%-0.5 pts$6.2K39.7%
October 312¢2.1%+0.1 pts$9.5K60.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 19¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$15.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Taiz Governorate, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Saudi troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia. Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify. "Taiz Governorate" refers to the entirety of Taiz Governorate, Yemen, as defined by its official administrative boundaries. "Enter" means that the Saudi troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Taiz Governorate, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Saudi troop entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 477 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes477$95
Weird-FreedomNo307$245
Few-PreventionYes146$29
Speedy-BartenderNo139$111
bakayo33 - 9934No104$83
Plastic-DuckYes40$8
Prestigious-Zephyr-JailNo32$26
Plush-ThongNo30$24
Exotic-PrizeNo21$17
Awesome-Checkbook-HoseYes20$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $74 at 91.0%BUY No — $36 at 90.0%BUY Yes — $32 at 16.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 04:55 PM ETYesSELL19.0%$4
Oct 23, 03:36 PM ETNoBUY77.0%$31
Oct 23, 01:46 AM ETYesSELL1.5%$0
Oct 21, 12:26 PM ETNoSELL80.0%$4
Oct 21, 12:25 PM ETNoSELL80.0%$21
Oct 18, 03:01 PM ETYesSELL1.9%$4
Oct 16, 01:18 AM ETNoSELL85.0%$4
Oct 16, 01:17 AM ETNoSELL86.0%$4
Oct 15, 09:45 AM ETNoSELL85.0%$13
Oct 14, 02:05 PM ETYesSELL13.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Saudi troops enter Taiz by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 20.0%. Next is October 31 at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-taiz-governorate-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Saudi troops enter Taiz by...??

$15.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Saudi troops enter Taiz by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 20.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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