Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 15.0% in Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...? — $119.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
15%
A 15.0% price implies roughly a 15-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D −5.5 pts30D −6.5 pts
December 31, 202615.0%
October 31, 20264.5%
Bid
14¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 12, 2026: 12.5% – 39.0% · Opened at 39.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
Category
Yemen, Military, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East, Saudi Arabia
Scheduled end
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$119.8K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$29.3K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 15.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 15.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -5.5 pts; past month: -6.5 pts.

Since September 12, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 12.5% and 39.0%. It opened at 39.0% and last traded at 14.5%.

DayClose
Oct 12, 202620.5%
Oct 13, 202621.5%
Oct 15, 202620.5%
Oct 16, 202620.5%
Oct 18, 202620.5%
Oct 19, 202615.0%
Oct 20, 202614.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 15.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202615¢15.0%+0.5 pts$27.6K23.0%
October 31, 20265¢4.5%—$25.8K21.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$119.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Yemeni forces, or personnel conducting combat operations from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution). Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,541 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Peppery-CapitalNo1,541$1.3K
Unfit-ColeslawYes1,400$210
Immaterial-StalkNo1,225$1.0K
NoSteinNoGateYes821$123
Circular-Sandpaper-LarderNo621$528
Tough-GarterYes543$82
Noteworthy-BarnNo443$377
Monstrous-DewYes439$66
Hideous-RacerNo431$367
Obvious-EyebrowNo404$344

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.1K at 93.0%SELL No — $534 at 93.0%BUY No — $500 at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 10:15 AM ETNoSELL84.0%$6
Oct 21, 12:47 AM ETYesBUY16.0%$2
Oct 19, 12:07 AM ETNoBUY81.0%$26
Oct 18, 04:20 PM ETYesBUY21.0%$1
Oct 18, 03:00 PM ETYesSELL19.9%$56
Oct 18, 08:31 AM ETNoBUY98.2%$20
Oct 17, 12:33 PM ETNoSELL95.4%$60
Oct 17, 04:37 AM ETYesBUY21.0%$2
Oct 17, 01:12 AM ETYesBUY21.0%$3
Oct 16, 10:54 PM ETYesSELL2.5%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 15.0%. Next is October 31, 2026 at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...??

$119.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 15.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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