As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Matthew Shoemaker at 69.0% in Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $11.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Matthew Shoemaker, is priced at 69.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: +29.5 pts; past month: +12.5 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Matthew Shoemaker has traded between 24.0% and 82.5%. It opened at 57.5% and last traded at 67.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.0% |
Matthew Shoemaker is favored at 69.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shoemaker | 69¢ | 69.0% | +2.0 pts | $5.6K | 49.2% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Joel Rowswell | 32¢ | 32.0% | +2.0 pts | $4.2K | 36.7% |
| Selva Rasaiah | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $517 | 4.6% |
| Josh McNally | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $577 | 5.1% |
| Matthew Toffelmire | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $507 | 4.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.4K has been traded on this event in total, $272 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 970 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 970 | $301 |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 620 | $428 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 417 | $287 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 314 | $97 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 134 | $92 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 60 | $19 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 59 | $41 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 40 | $28 |
| Substantial-Trunk | Yes | 25 | $17 |
| 0xf040b361… | Yes | 22 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 09:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 09:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 08:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 08:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Matthew Shoemaker at 69.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sault-ste-marie-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$11.4K in total volume, with $272 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Matthew Shoemaker, priced at 69.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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