As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 83.5% in Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? — $4.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 83.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: -13.5 pts.
Since September 14, 2026, No has traded between 52.5% and 86.5%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 86.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.5% |
No is favored at 83.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84¢ | 83.5% | -6.5 pts | $4.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 16¢ | 16.5% | +6.5 pts | $4.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.0K has been traded on this event in total, $318 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Saxony-Anhalt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. Dissolution by resolution of the Landtag, dissolution following a failure to elect a Minister-President, and any other means of dissolution provided for by the Constitution of the State of Saxony-Anhalt all qualify. An announcement of an intention to seek dissolution, a failed vote on dissolution, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saxony-Anhalt and the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villainous-Crook | No | 1,000 | $835 |
| Far-Off-Skean | Yes | 972 | $160 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 795 | $664 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 679 | $112 |
| Unlined-Colon-Quit | Yes | 368 | $61 |
| Frizzy-Bowling | No | 349 | $291 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 195 | $32 |
| Ajar-Sportsman | No | 168 | $141 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 80 | $13 |
| Fast-Conflict | Yes | 60 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 08:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.5% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 08:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 06:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $13 |
| Oct 17, 12:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $12 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 83.5%. Next is Yes at 16.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/saxony-anhalt-snap-election-called-in-2026?via=bro
$4.0K in total volume, with $318 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 83.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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