Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO before January 2027 at 98.1% in SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap — $47.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $96.
Leading outcome
No IPO before January 2027
98%
A 98.1% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.5 pts7D +1.2 pts30D +67.1 pts
No IPO before January 202798.1%
$125B+0.6%
Bid
97¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 09, 2026: 11.5% – 97.5% · Opened at 44.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap
Category
AI, IPO, IPOs, Finance, Business, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$47.3K
Volume (24h)
$96
Liquidity
$6.3K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
No IPO before January 2027 — 98.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No IPO before January 2027, is priced at 98.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +1.2 pts; past month: +67.1 pts.

Since September 09, 2026, No IPO before January 2027 has traded between 11.5% and 97.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 97.5%.

DayClose
Oct 12, 202671.5%
Oct 13, 202661.5%
Oct 15, 202661.5%
Oct 16, 202695.4%
Oct 18, 202695.3%
Oct 19, 202697.0%
Oct 20, 202697.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No IPO before January 2027 is favored at 98.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No IPO before January 202798¢98.1%+2.5 pts$11.1K23.5%
$125B+1¢0.6%-0.1 pts$1.2K2.4%
$60B-$70B0¢0.4%—$3.9K8.2%
$80B-$100B0¢0.4%—$1.8K3.8%
$50B-$60B0¢0.4%-0.3 pts$11.0K23.3%
$70B-$80B0¢0.2%-0.1 pts$1.5K3.3%
<$40B0¢0.1%—$6741.4%
$40B-$50B0¢0.1%—$15.4K32.6%
$100B-$125B0¢0.1%—$6361.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$47.3K has been traded on this event in total, $96 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,664 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityYes1,664$1.6K
Piercing-FormationYes1,631$1.6K
0xa5ef39c3…No889$17
Belated-GlueNo857$16
Past-LaboratoryNo300$6
Notable-Nun-CuttingNo266$5
Evil-RowNo183$3
Infatuated-NunNo150$3
Remorseful-SectionalNo140$3
Gleaming-HandlebarNo86$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $446 at 99.4%SELL No — $229 at 99.9%SELL Yes — $218 at 97.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:03 AM ETNoSELL0.6%$0
Oct 23, 09:50 PM ETYesSELL0.5%$0
Oct 22, 08:56 AM ETNoSELL99.8%$47
Oct 22, 08:53 AM ETNoSELL99.1%$99
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 21, 10:23 PM ETYesSELL97.0%$32
Oct 21, 08:47 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$2
Oct 21, 08:47 PM ETNoBUY1.0%$0
Oct 21, 08:47 PM ETNoBUY99.6%$2
Oct 21, 08:47 PM ETNoBUY1.0%$0

Related markets

More AI

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 29.5% · 24H VOL $87.4K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO before January 2027 at 98.1%. Next is $125B+ at 0.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sb-energy-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro

How much money has been traded on SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap?

$47.3K in total volume, with $96 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap, according to Polymarket traders?

No IPO before January 2027, priced at 98.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.