As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.6% in SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? — $3.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: -2.7 pts; past month: +0.7 pts.
Since July 14, 2026, No has traded between 68.1% and 99.0%. It opened at 68.1% and last traded at 93.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.6% |
No is favored at 93.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 93.6% | -0.4 pts | $3.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.4% | +0.4 pts | $3.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 486 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 486 | $31 |
| Active-Flume | No | 280 | $262 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 280 | $18 |
| Expensive-Struggle | No | 270 | $252 |
| Witty-Birch | No | 181 | $169 |
| Daring-President | No | 171 | $160 |
| 0x6b0ebbef… | Yes | 67 | $4 |
| Mundane-Hood | No | 55 | $51 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 42 | $3 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 34 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 04:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 04:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.4% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 04:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.5% | $117 |
| Oct 20, 11:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.8% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 11:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.7% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 11:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.7% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 11:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 11:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.9% | $49 |
| Oct 20, 11:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 15, 04:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.6%. Next is Yes at 6.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/scotus-grants-trump-birthright-citizenship-rehearing-by-december-31-20260710222928774?via=bro
$3.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf.
No, priced at 93.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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