Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 13, 2026 at 98.0% in Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…? — $4.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
November 13, 2026
98%
A 98.0% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.1 pts7D +0.4 pts30D +4.0 pts
November 13, 202698.0%
March 13, 202748.0%
Bid
96¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 22, 2026: 16.5% – 98.0% · Opened at 31.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?
Category
thc, Politics, Marijuana
Scheduled end
March 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$4.8K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$17.1K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
November 13, 2026 — 98.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 13, 2026, is priced at 98.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.

Since July 22, 2026, November 13, 2026 has traded between 16.5% and 98.0%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 98.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202696.0%
Oct 16, 202697.7%
Oct 18, 202697.4%
Oct 19, 202697.7%
Oct 20, 202697.7%
Oct 23, 202697.9%
Oct 24, 202698.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 13, 2026 is favored at 98.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 13, 202698¢98.0%+0.1 pts$4.3K89.8%
March 13, 202748¢48.0%—$48710.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$4.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

On November 12, 2025, the United States enacted a law that includes a provision, referred to herein as Section 781, defining hemp to exclude products containing a tetrahydrocannabinols (“THC”) concentration (including tetrahydrocannabinolic acid) of over 0.3%, or finished consumer products containing over 0.4mg of THC. This law would have the effect of creating federal prohibitions on the sale of such products and is scheduled to go into effect on November 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, a hemp-derived beverage containing 5mg or more of total THC per container qualifies as lawful hemp under federal law (and is therefore not a schedule 1 controlled substance). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying means by which this market may resolve to Yes include, but are not limited to: the repeal of Section 781, the delay of the effective date of Section 781 past the specified date, the enactment of a law that overrides Section 781, or the nationwide enjoinment of Section 781 by a federal court. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,023 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Short-Term-CriminalYes1,023$1.0K
Grim-GarageNo394$8
Snappy-RoosterNo203$4
Plump-ImplementationNo100$2
Belated-GlueNo71$1
Stale-CashewNo64$1
Past-DisguiseNo54$1
Pointed-WildernessNo50$1
Bouncy-SavingNo40$1
Known-UseNo39$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $470 at 94.0%BUY Yes — $100 at 90.0%BUY Yes — $98 at 78.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 06, 05:54 PM ETYesSELL95.0%$2
Oct 01, 02:45 PM ETYesBUY96.0%$26
Sep 23, 05:49 PM ETYesBUY94.0%$470
Sep 20, 02:26 AM ETYesSELL92.0%$5
Sep 20, 02:23 AM ETYesBUY93.0%$5
Sep 19, 07:38 AM ETNoSELL6.0%$6
Sep 18, 09:01 AM ETNoSELL7.0%$1
Sep 05, 09:48 AM ETYesBUY90.0%$100
Sep 01, 02:10 PM ETYesBUY88.6%$94
Sep 01, 01:52 PM ETYesBUY79.0%$79

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.44M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $767.1K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 13, 2026 at 98.0%. Next is March 13, 2027 at 48.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/seltzers-with-5mg-thc-legal-on-20260721232319562?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…??

$4.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…? end?

The market is scheduled to end March 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 13, 2026, priced at 98.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.