As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 13, 2026 at 98.0% in Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…? — $4.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 13, 2026, is priced at 98.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since July 22, 2026, November 13, 2026 has traded between 16.5% and 98.0%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 98.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.0% |
November 13, 2026 is favored at 98.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 13, 2026 | 98¢ | 98.0% | +0.1 pts | $4.3K | 89.8% |
| March 13, 2027 | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $487 | 10.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
On November 12, 2025, the United States enacted a law that includes a provision, referred to herein as Section 781, defining hemp to exclude products containing a tetrahydrocannabinols (“THC”) concentration (including tetrahydrocannabinolic acid) of over 0.3%, or finished consumer products containing over 0.4mg of THC. This law would have the effect of creating federal prohibitions on the sale of such products and is scheduled to go into effect on November 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, a hemp-derived beverage containing 5mg or more of total THC per container qualifies as lawful hemp under federal law (and is therefore not a schedule 1 controlled substance). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying means by which this market may resolve to Yes include, but are not limited to: the repeal of Section 781, the delay of the effective date of Section 781 past the specified date, the enactment of a law that overrides Section 781, or the nationwide enjoinment of Section 781 by a federal court. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,023 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-Term-Criminal | Yes | 1,023 | $1.0K |
| Grim-Garage | No | 394 | $8 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 203 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 100 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 71 | $1 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 64 | $1 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 54 | $1 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 50 | $1 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 40 | $1 |
| Known-Use | No | 39 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 06, 05:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.0% | $2 |
| Oct 01, 02:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $26 |
| Sep 23, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.0% | $470 |
| Sep 20, 02:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.0% | $5 |
| Sep 20, 02:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $5 |
| Sep 19, 07:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $6 |
| Sep 18, 09:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Sep 05, 09:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $100 |
| Sep 01, 02:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.6% | $94 |
| Sep 01, 01:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $79 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 13, 2026 at 98.0%. Next is March 13, 2027 at 48.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/seltzers-with-5mg-thc-legal-on-20260721232319562?via=bro
$4.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
November 13, 2026, priced at 98.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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