As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Democratic Party at 97.9% in Senate control favorite on November 2? — $17.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Democratic Party, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +12.4 pts.
Since September 22, 2026, Democratic Party has traded between 84.0% and 99.0%. It opened at 84.0% and last traded at 97.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.9% |
Democratic Party is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 98¢ | 97.9% | — | $17.3K | 100.0% |
| Republican Party | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $17.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.3K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,513 shares of Democratic Party.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump2028 | Democratic Party | 10,513 | $10.3K |
| Wary-Restaurant | Republican Party | 8,156 | $171 |
| Essential-Diarist | Republican Party | 2,125 | $45 |
| Impassioned-Watch | Democratic Party | 1,534 | $1.5K |
| Snappy-Rooster | Republican Party | 434 | $9 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Republican Party | 387 | $8 |
| Belated-Glue | Republican Party | 375 | $8 |
| Known-Use | Republican Party | 315 | $7 |
| Rash-Dozen | Republican Party | 232 | $5 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | Democratic Party | 200 | $196 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | Democratic Party | BUY | 98.8% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 05:55 PM ET | Democratic Party | BUY | 98.2% | $24 |
| Oct 17, 01:07 AM ET | Republican Party | BUY | 3.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 01:25 PM ET | Republican Party | BUY | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 01:18 PM ET | Republican Party | BUY | 1.4% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 10:37 AM ET | Democratic Party | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 10:37 AM ET | Republican Party | BUY | 1.4% | $114 |
| Oct 14, 07:05 PM ET | Democratic Party | SELL | 98.3% | $22 |
| Oct 14, 02:00 PM ET | Republican Party | BUY | 1.5% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 01:00 PM ET | Republican Party | BUY | 1.5% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Democratic Party at 97.9%. Next is Republican Party at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/senate-control-favorite-on-november-2?via=bro
$17.3K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html.
Democratic Party, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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