As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 1.4% in Senate passes Clarity Act by...? — $51.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 1.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, October 31 has traded between 1.2% and 12.5%. It opened at 12.5% and last traded at 1.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 1.6% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 1.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 1.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 1.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 1.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 1.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 1.4% |
October 31 is favored at 1.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $28.5K | 55.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,890 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Few-Prevention | Yes | 6,890 | $93 |
| Hilarious-Oboe | No | 6,210 | $6.1K |
| Cooperative-Gasket | No | 1,507 | $1.5K |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist | No | 1,000 | $986 |
| Nippy-Legume | Yes | 925 | $12 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 630 | $9 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke | No | 454 | $448 |
| Raw-Transom | Yes | 356 | $5 |
| That-Rocketship | No | 183 | $180 |
| Hateful-Howard | Yes | 155 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 02:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $106 |
| Oct 08, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $20 |
| Oct 07, 04:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.6% | $2 |
| Sep 29, 02:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $1 |
| Sep 29, 01:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 08:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 06:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.1% | $10 |
| Sep 25, 05:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $10 |
| Sep 25, 01:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $98 |
| Sep 25, 01:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 1.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/senate-passes-clarity-act-byptptpt?via=bro
$51.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 1.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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