As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dems sweep at 66.5% in Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire — $16.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Dems sweep, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts.
Since October 08, 2026, Dems sweep has traded between 64.5% and 73.0%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.0% |
Dems sweep is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dems sweep | 66¢ | 66.5% | +0.5 pts | $8.3K | 50.7% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Reps MI, Dems MN & NH | 20¢ | 20.2% | -1.0 pts | $1.7K | 10.4% |
| Dems MI & NH, Reps MN | 8¢ | 8.3% | +0.2 pts | $906 | 5.5% |
| Dems MI & MN, Reps NH | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.4 pts | $2.3K | 13.9% |
| Reps MI & MN, Dems NH | 4¢ | 3.8% | -0.7 pts | $510 | 3.1% |
| Reps sweep | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $1.4K | 8.8% |
| Dems MI, Reps MN & NH | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $352 | 2.1% |
| Reps MI & NH, Dems MN | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $889 | 5.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,557 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearful-Congress | No | 2,557 | $857 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,062 | $356 |
| Repentant-Client | Yes | 1,000 | $665 |
| Cultivated-Diesel | Yes | 860 | $572 |
| Disguised-Pajamas | Yes | 700 | $465 |
| Ripe-Cake | Yes | 555 | $369 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 500 | $168 |
| Grumpy-Urn | Yes | 425 | $282 |
| Creative-Wheel | Yes | 370 | $246 |
| Shady-Tool | Yes | 321 | $213 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.1% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 11:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.9% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.9% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 11:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.0% | $621 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dems sweep at 66.5%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-michigan-minnesota-new-hampshire?via=bro
$16.4K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Dems sweep, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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