As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dems TX, Reps KS & NE at 56.5% in Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska — $12.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Dems TX, Reps KS & NE, is priced at 56.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +29.0 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, Dems TX, Reps KS & NE has traded between 30.0% and 57.5%. It opened at 33.0% and last traded at 56.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 56.5% |
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE is favored at 56.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dems TX, Reps KS & NE | 56¢ | 56.5% | — | $4.0K | 32.4% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dems TX & KS, Reps NE | 23¢ | 23.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.1K | 17.0% |
| Reps sweep | 15¢ | 15.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K | 11.6% |
| Dems TX & KS, Ind NE | 6¢ | 6.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.8K | 14.8% |
| Dems TX, Reps KS, Ind NE | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.9 pts | $874 | 7.0% |
| Reps TX & NE, Dems KS | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.1 pts | $844 | 6.8% |
| Reps TX, Dems KS, Ind NE | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $672 | 5.4% |
| Reps TX & KS, Ind NE | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $606 | 4.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Texas or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,272 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glum-Castle-Sequence | Yes | 1,272 | $719 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 870 | $378 |
| Careful-Bunch | No | 332 | $144 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | No | 222 | $96 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | No | 121 | $53 |
| Small-Fellow-Mandolin | No | 120 | $52 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 69 | $39 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 65 | $37 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 52 | $30 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 50 | $28 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 55.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dems TX, Reps KS & NE at 56.5%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-texas-kansas-nebraska?via=bro
$12.4K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE, priced at 56.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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