Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska

As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dems TX, Reps KS & NE at 56.5% in Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska — $12.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.2K.
Leading outcome
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE
56%
A 56.5% price implies roughly a 56-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +29.0 pts
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE56.5%
Other50.0%
Bid
55¢
Ask
58¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 14, 2026: 30.0% – 57.5% · Opened at 33.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska
Category
Politics, election, Dan Osborn, Ken Paxton, US Election, Texas Senate, Pete Ricketts, Texas Midterm, adam hamilton, James Talarico, Kansas Midterm, Roger Marshall, Nebraska Midterm
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$12.4K
Volume (24h)
$1.2K
Liquidity
$94.0K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE — 56.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Dems TX, Reps KS & NE, is priced at 56.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +29.0 pts.

Since October 14, 2026, Dems TX, Reps KS & NE has traded between 30.0% and 57.5%. It opened at 33.0% and last traded at 56.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202634.0%
Oct 16, 202634.0%
Oct 18, 202630.0%
Oct 19, 202634.5%
Oct 20, 202643.5%
Oct 22, 202657.5%
Oct 23, 202656.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Dems TX, Reps KS & NE is favored at 56.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE56¢56.5%—$4.0K32.4%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Dems TX & KS, Reps NE23¢23.0%-1.5 pts$2.1K17.0%
Reps sweep15¢15.0%+1.0 pts$1.4K11.6%
Dems TX & KS, Ind NE6¢6.2%-0.1 pts$1.8K14.8%
Dems TX, Reps KS, Ind NE4¢3.5%-0.9 pts$8747.0%
Reps TX & NE, Dems KS2¢2.2%-0.1 pts$8446.8%
Reps TX, Dems KS, Ind NE1¢0.5%—$6725.4%
Reps TX & KS, Ind NE0¢0.1%-0.1 pts$6064.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$12.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Texas or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,272 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Glum-Castle-SequenceYes1,272$719
0xa5ef39c3…No870$378
Careful-BunchNo332$144
Bumpy-ConscienceNo222$96
Bossy-Birdcage-PeriodNo121$53
Small-Fellow-MandolinNo120$52
Belated-GlueYes69$39
Direct-ChainstayYes65$37
Gleaming-HandlebarYes52$30
Spirited-PriestYes50$28

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $183 at 34.5%BUY No — $142 at 87.6%BUY No — $138 at 86.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY45.0%$14
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$24
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY92.0%$28
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY45.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$4
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY92.0%$5
Oct 24, 06:31 PM ETYesSELL55.0%$0
Oct 24, 06:31 PM ETYesSELL21.0%$0
Oct 24, 05:49 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$24
Oct 24, 05:49 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dems TX, Reps KS & NE at 56.5%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-texas-kansas-nebraska?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska?

$12.4K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska, according to Polymarket traders?

Dems TX, Reps KS & NE, priced at 56.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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