Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 40-45% at 37.5% in Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share? — $74.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $13.3K.
Leading outcome
40-45%
38%
A 37.5% price implies roughly a 38-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +11.0 pts7D +8.0 pts
40-45%37.5%
35-40%24.0%
Bid
34¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
7¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 25, 2026: 19.5% – 52.0% · Opened at 52.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?
Category
Serbia, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props, Serbia Elections
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$74.0K
Volume (24h)
$13.3K
Liquidity
$60.1K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
40-45% — 37.5%
Resolution source
https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 40-45%, is priced at 37.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.0 pts; past week: +8.0 pts.

Since September 25, 2026, 40-45% has traded between 19.5% and 52.0%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 38.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202629.5%
Oct 18, 202631.5%
Oct 19, 202619.5%
Oct 20, 202630.0%
Oct 22, 202631.0%
Oct 23, 202626.5%
Oct 24, 202638.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

40-45% is favored at 37.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
40-45%38¢37.5%+11.0 pts$12.4K16.7%
35-40%24¢24.0%-4.5 pts$12.1K16.3%
45-50%16¢16.5%-3.5 pts$11.8K16.0%
50%+14¢14.2%+0.9 pts$18.3K24.7%
30-35%6¢5.7%-4.0 pts$9.0K12.2%
<30%2¢2.1%-2.9 pts$10.4K14.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 41¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$74.0K has been traded on this event in total, $13.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid vote won by the electoral list “Student List – Students Win” (Student List) in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by “Student List – Students Win” (Student List) divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named electoral list. Votes attributed to another list or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Resolution source: https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,266 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No6,266$3.9K
Another-KiltYes1,506$565
Youthful-FirYes1,088$408
Candid-Manatee-BrownieYes539$202
Plain-Gallbladder-TattlerYes515$193
Rotten-ArcadeYes411$154
Valid-EagleYes406$152
Serious-Taxicab-AuthorYes400$150
Known-UseNo337$211
Aggressive-AnkleYes332$124

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $399 at 36.7%BUY Yes — $215 at 21.7%BUY No — $188 at 83.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:53 PM ETNoSELL82.6%$19
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY86.3%$9
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY86.3%$7
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY85.3%$26
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY85.4%$56
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETYesBUY41.4%$85
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY78.7%$51
Oct 24, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY81.0%$24
Oct 24, 06:35 PM ETNoSELL81.4%$28
Oct 24, 05:55 PM ETYesBUY16.3%$80

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 40-45% at 37.5%. Next is 35-40% at 24.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-election-student-list-vote-share?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share??

$74.0K in total volume, with $13.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/.

What is the most likely outcome of Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?, according to Polymarket traders?

40-45%, priced at 37.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.