As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! at 78.0% in Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — $40.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!, is priced at 78.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.5 pts; past week: +12.0 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! has traded between 32.5% and 80.0%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 78.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 78.5% |
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! is favored at 78.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! | 78¢ | 78.0% | +12.5 pts | $10.1K | 24.8% |
| List A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| List Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš | 11¢ | 11.0% | -4.5 pts | $9.6K | 23.5% |
| Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor | 8¢ | 8.0% | -0.1 pts | $5.2K | 12.9% |
| Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović | 5¢ | 5.2% | -6.1 pts | $6.5K | 15.8% |
| Student List – Students Win | 0¢ | 0.4% | -1.9 pts | $3.2K | 7.9% |
| Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $2.7K | 6.5% |
| Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.7% |
| Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $865 | 2.1% |
| Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $796 | 2.0% |
| SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $722 | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$40.8K has been traded on this event in total, $5.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 37 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,781 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,781 | $832 |
| Fussy-Diarist | Yes | 1,155 | $901 |
| Unfit-Bonnet | Yes | 982 | $766 |
| Attentive-Dusk | Yes | 800 | $624 |
| Shiny-Berry | Yes | 416 | $325 |
| Dead-Lava | Yes | 296 | $231 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 201 | $44 |
| Round-Yang-Controversy | Yes | 142 | $111 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 132 | $29 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 112 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.1% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.6% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.9% | $53 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! at 78.0%. Next is List A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-3rd-place?via=bro
$40.8K in total volume, with $5.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 37 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/.
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!, priced at 78.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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