Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! at 78.0% in Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — $40.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.0K.
Leading outcome
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!
78%
A 78.0% price implies roughly a 78-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +12.5 pts7D +12.0 pts
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!78.0%
List A50.0%
Bid
75¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
6¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 25, 2026: 32.5% – 80.0% · Opened at 32.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Category
Serbia, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections, Serbia Elections
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$40.8K
Volume (24h)
$5.0K
Liquidity
$178.0K
Markets
37
Leading outcome
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! — 78.0%
Resolution source
https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!, is priced at 78.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.5 pts; past week: +12.0 pts.

Since September 25, 2026, Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! has traded between 32.5% and 80.0%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 78.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202666.0%
Oct 18, 202665.0%
Oct 19, 202664.0%
Oct 20, 202669.0%
Oct 22, 202662.5%
Oct 23, 202665.5%
Oct 24, 202678.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! is favored at 78.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!78¢78.0%+12.5 pts$10.1K24.8%
List A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
List Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš11¢11.0%-4.5 pts$9.6K23.5%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor8¢8.0%-0.1 pts$5.2K12.9%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović5¢5.2%-6.1 pts$6.5K15.8%
Student List – Students Win0¢0.4%-1.9 pts$3.2K7.9%
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)0¢0.3%-0.1 pts$2.7K6.5%
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia0¢0.1%—$1.1K2.7%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification0¢0.1%—$8652.1%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić0¢0.1%—$7962.0%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak0¢0.1%—$7221.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$40.8K has been traded on this event in total, $5.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 37 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,781 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No3,781$832
Fussy-DiaristYes1,155$901
Unfit-BonnetYes982$766
Attentive-DuskYes800$624
Shiny-BerryYes416$325
Dead-LavaYes296$231
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayNo201$44
Round-Yang-ControversyYes142$111
Belated-GlueNo132$29
Attentive-CrewmanNo112$25

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $311 at 74.0%BUY No — $108 at 99.6%BUY Yes — $107 at 77.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:59 PM ETNoSELL19.0%$10
Oct 24, 07:19 PM ETNoSELL19.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETNoBUY25.0%$8
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETNoBUY25.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETNoBUY25.0%$8
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETNoBUY88.1%$29
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETNoBUY87.0%$7
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETNoBUY87.0%$26
Oct 24, 06:43 PM ETYesBUY5.6%$10
Oct 24, 06:38 PM ETYesBUY16.9%$53

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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! at 78.0%. Next is List A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-3rd-place?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?

$40.8K in total volume, with $5.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 37 markets.

When does Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/.

What is the most likely outcome of Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place, according to Polymarket traders?

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!, priced at 78.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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