As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 66-70% at 39.0% in Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout — $55.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 66-70%, is priced at 39.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, 66-70% has traded between 19.5% and 40.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 40.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 40.0% |
66-70% is favored at 39.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66-70% | 39¢ | 39.0% | +8.5 pts | $5.0K | 8.9% |
| 62-66% | 38¢ | 38.5% | -8.0 pts | $7.4K | 13.2% |
| 70%+ | 18¢ | 18.0% | +7.5 pts | $36.0K | 64.7% |
| 58-62% | 5¢ | 4.9% | -7.2 pts | $4.7K | 8.4% |
| <58% | 1¢ | 0.9% | -5.4 pts | $2.7K | 4.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$55.7K has been traded on this event in total, $5.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Resolution source: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,286 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,286 | $1.4K |
| Antique-Season | Yes | 457 | $178 |
| Oblong-Colleague | Yes | 307 | $120 |
| Thin-Chicken | Yes | 200 | $78 |
| Unfolded-Fish | Yes | 198 | $77 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 168 | $103 |
| Wobbly-Rat-Battleship | Yes | 158 | $62 |
| Handy-Shutdown-Frontier | Yes | 150 | $58 |
| 0x7d244478… | Yes | 144 | $56 |
| Small-Fellow-Mandolin | Yes | 120 | $47 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.4% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 07:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.8% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $85 |
| Oct 24, 05:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.9% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 66-70% at 39.0%. Next is 62-66% at 38.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-turnout?via=bro
$55.7K in total volume, with $5.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf.
66-70%, priced at 39.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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